1. Conceptual Framework and Methodology of this Report -- 2. Relation of Student Achievement to the Quality of Their Teachers and Instructional Quality -- 3. The Relations among School Climate, Instructional Quality, and Achievement Motivation in Mathematics -- 4. The Impact of School Climate and Teacher Quality on Mathematics Achievement: A Difference-in-Differences Approach -- 5. The Importan…
Assessment of characteristic shear strength parameters of soil and its implication in geotechnical design -- Ambiguity of safety definition in geotechnical models -- The fuzziness and sensitivity of failure probabilities -- The mathematics of uncertainty: models, methods and interpretations -- Multi-parameter models: rules and computational methods for combining uncertainties -- Sensitivity ana…
Concept on Landslides and Landslide Susceptibility -- Geomorphic, Geo-tectonic and Hydrologic Attributes and Landslide Probability -- Frequency Ratio Model (FRM) and Information Value Model (IVM) in landslide susceptibility Assessment and Prediction -- Logistic Regression Model (LRM) and Landslide Susceptibility: A RS & GIS based approach -- Artificial Neural Network (ANN) Model and Landslide S…
Spot and Futures Markets -- An Introduction to Financial Derivatives -- Discrete-time Security Markets -- Benchmark Models in Continuous Time -- Foreign Market Derivatives -- American Options -- Exotic Options -- Volatility Risk -- Continuous-time Security Markets -- Fixed-income Markets -- Interest Rates and Related Contracts -- Short-Term Rate Models -- Models of Instantaneous Forward Rates -…
Brief History of Test Theory and Design -- Formulating Test Specifications -- Modeling Test-Assembly Problems -- Solving Test-Assembly Problems -- Models for Assembling Single Tests -- Models for Assembling Multiple Tests -- Models for Assembling Tests with Item Sets -- Models for Assembling Tests Measuring Multiple Abilities -- Models for Adaptive Test Assembly -- Designing Item Pools for Prog…
This volume contains two of the three lectures that were given at the 33rd Probability Summer School in Saint-Flour (July 6-23, 2003). Amir Dembo’s course is devoted to recent studies of the fractal nature of random sets, focusing on some fine properties of the sample path of random walk and Brownian motion. In particular, the cover time for Markov chains, the dimension of discrete limsup ran…
Stochastic Methods in Statistical Physics -- Coarse-Graining Techniques for (Random) Kac Models -- Euclidean Gibbs Measures of Quantum Crystals: Existence, Uniqueness and a Priori Estimates -- Some Jump Processes in Quantum Field Theory -- Gibbs Measures on Brownian Paths: Theory and Applications -- Spectral Theory for Nonstationary Random Potentials -- A Survey of Rigorous Results on Random Sc…
Discrimination and Clustering -- Probability Models and Statistical Methods -- Pattern Recognition and Computational Learning -- Time Series Analysis -- Marketing, Retailing, and Marketing Research -- Finance, Capital Markets, and Risk Management -- Production, Logistics, and Controlling -- Medicine and Health Services.
Main Definitions and Notations -- Main Definitions and Notations -- State Inference -- Filtering and Smoothing Recursions -- Advanced Topics in Smoothing -- Applications of Smoothing -- Monte Carlo Methods -- Sequential Monte Carlo Methods -- Advanced Topics in Sequential Monte Carlo -- Analysis of Sequential Monte Carlo Methods -- Parameter Inference -- Maximum Likelihood Inference, Part I: Op…
CUSUM Procedure -- Change-Point Estimation -- Confidence Interval for Change-Point -- Inference for Post-Change Mean -- Estimation After False Signal -- Inference with Change in Variance -- Sequential Classification and Segmentation -- An Adaptive CUSUM Procedure -- Dependent Observation Case -- Other Methods and Remarks.This monograph is the first to systematically study the bias of estimators…